Pomegra
Economy
MAJOR
11m ago6 min read
Williams Sees One More Fed Rate Hike, None in 2027
NY Fed's John Williams says one more Fed rate hike is likely appropriate in late 2026 but none is needed in 2027, a view that diverges from market pricing.
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Economy News
Economic news that moves markets: inflation prints, jobs reports, GDP, central-bank decisions, and what each release means for investors.
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Economy
MAJOR
6h ago5 min read
BlackRock Cuts US Stocks to Neutral, Buys Treasurys
BlackRock (BLK) cut US stocks to neutral and moved to overweight Treasurys for the first time in about six years as yields neared 5.25%, citing AI volatility.
Economy
NOTABLE
11h ago5 min read
Cleveland Fed's Hammack Lifts Fed Rate Hike Bets
Cleveland Fed's Beth Hammack backed smaller, faster rate moves, keeping a December Fed rate hike in play as futures price an October hold ahead of US CPI.
Economy
MAJOR
16h ago6 min read
IMF Warns of Disorderly Bond Yield Spike on Debt, AI
The IMF warns debt, sticky inflation and AI borrowing could trigger a disorderly spike in global sovereign bond yields, with the 10-year Treasury near 5.2%.
Economy
MAJOR
17h ago6 min read
Dimon Warns Interest Rates May Climb Higher in 2026
JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon says interest rates could rise further than markets expect as sticky inflation and the Iran war keep pressure on borrowing costs.
Economy
NOTABLE
1d ago4 min read
10-Year Treasury Yield Falls to 5.19% as Energy Eases
The 10-year Treasury yield fell about 5 basis points to 5.19% and the 30-year to 5.56% as energy prices eased and bond markets reopened after Columbus Day.
Economy
MAJOR
1d ago5 min read
US September CPI: Fed Rate Hike Bets Ride on Core
US September CPI, due Wednesday, is forecast to lift headline inflation to 3.7% on gasoline, while core data sets October Fed rate hike odds near 1 in 5.
Economy
NOTABLE
2d ago6 min read
Gold Slides to $4,100 as Yields Hit Highest Since 2002
Gold fell to a two-month low near $4,100 as a stronger dollar and Treasury yields at their highest since 2002 weighed on bullion as Fed rate hike bets linger.
Economy
NOTABLE
4d ago5 min read
Consumer Sentiment Falls to 46.3 in October 2026
Michigan consumer sentiment fell to 46.3 in early October, a five-month low and below the 47.6 forecast, as one-year inflation expectations rose to 4.7%.
Economy
MAJOR
5d ago4 min read
Fed Rate Hikes: Waller, Musalem Back More Tightening
Fed rate hikes are back on the table as Waller and Musalem call for more tightening, with traders pricing about an 83% chance of a December increase.
Economy
MAJOR
5d ago6 min read
10-Year Treasury Yield Hits 5.36%, Highest Since 2002
The 10-year Treasury yield touched 5.36%, a 24-year high, before easing to about 5.3%, as rising interest rates and $100 oil weighed on U.S. stocks Wednesday.
Economy
MAJOR
6d ago6 min read
RBI Raises Interest Rates to 5.5%, First Hike Since 2023
The Reserve Bank of India raised interest rates by 25 basis points to 5.5% on October 7, its first increase in nearly four years, as inflation climbs above target.
Economy
MAJOR
6d ago6 min read
Yen at 158.4: BOJ Rate Hike Case Builds as Yields Hit 5.3%
The yen near 158.4 per dollar, an eighth straight rise in real wages and 5.3% U.S. 10-year yields shape the outlook for BOJ interest rates and global markets.
Economy
MAJOR
6d ago6 min read
Fed Minutes Today: Will a Second Rate Hike Follow?
Fed September minutes land at 2pm ET as October hike odds drop below 25%, leaving the fed rate path and a possible December increase in focus for investors.
Economy
MAJOR
Oct 66 min read
Euro Hits 17-Month Low as French Spread Widest Since 2011
The euro slid to $1.1161, a 17-month low, as the French-German bond spread hit its widest since 2011 and Spain's Sánchez called a November 29 snap election.
Economy
MAJOR
Oct 65 min read
September Payrolls Rise 29,000, Cutting Fed Rate Hike Odds
U.S. employers added just 29,000 jobs in September, well short of forecasts, trimming October Fed rate hike odds to about 17% while December stays near 90%.
Economy
MAJOR
Oct 55 min read
Treasury Yields Hit 24-Year High as Global Selloff Deepens
Treasury yields climbed again Monday, with the 10-year at 5.34% and the 30-year near 5.7%, as German, French, Italian and UK government bonds fell in step.
Economy
MAJOR
Oct 45 min read
Fed Rate Hike Odds Fade After Weak September Jobs Report
Fed rate hike odds for October fell to about 16% after September payrolls rose just 29,000, lifting the Nasdaq and S&P 500 even as 10-year yields ended higher.
Economy
MAJOR
Oct 25 min read
September Jobs Report: Payrolls Miss, Fed Rate Bets Fade
U.S. September payrolls rose just 29,000 versus 84,000 expected as unemployment hit 4.2%, trimming Fed rate-hike bets and pulling Treasury yields lower.
Economy
NOTABLE
Oct 26 min read
PCE Inflation Cools to 3.0%, but Fed Rate Hikes Stay Live
Core PCE inflation slowed to 3.0% in August, below the 3.3% forecast, yet Kashkari says inflation is too high and interest rates may rise again in 2026.
Economy
MAJOR
Oct 15 min read
Fed Rate Hike Odds Fall to 35% Before Friday Payrolls
Fed October rate hike odds fell to about 35% after soft data and dovish remarks from the New York Fed's Williams, leaving Friday's payrolls report as the next test.
Economy
MAJOR
Oct 14 min read
10-Year Treasury Yield Tops 5.3%, Highest Since 2002
The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield briefly topped 5.3%, the highest since 2002, as a stronger Q2 GDP revision and fund selling lifted interest rates.
Economy
MAJOR
Oct 16 min read
Gold Slides Toward $4,160 as Fed Rate Hike Bets Climb
Gold fell 3-4% toward $4,160-$4,200 an ounce as a bond rout, a firmer dollar and Fed rate hike bets lifted yields, while Bitcoin held near $83,000 a coin.
Economy
MAJOR
Sep 305 min read
Fed's Williams Sees No Urgency; October Hike Odds 50-50
New York Fed's Williams said there is no need for urgency on another fed rate hike, cutting October odds to 50-50 and lowering two-year Treasury yields.
Economy
MAJOR
Sep 296 min read
US Consumer Confidence Hits 81.9, Lowest Since 2014
Conference Board confidence fell to 81.9 in September, missing the 89.2 forecast, as fuel costs, Iran war worries and job fears weighed on households.
Economy
MAJOR
Sep 295 min read
JOLTS Beat Deepens Warsh Rate-Hike Fears
August JOLTS topped 7.23M consensus, amplifying fears of a Warsh Fed rate hike as 10-year Treasury yields hit 19-year highs and Brent crude holds above $105.
Economy
SEISMIC
Sep 287 min read
Bond Rout Deepens as 10-Year Yield Eyes 6%
Ten-year Treasury yields approach 6% as Mideast oil fears reignite inflation, dragging emerging market stocks to four consecutive sessions of losses.
Economy
MAJOR
Sep 286 min read
Warsh Rate-Hike Odds Cross 50% After Jackson Hole
Markets are now pricing better-than-even odds that Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh will raise interest rates at the November FOMC meeting, after his Jackson Hole address signaled persistent…
Economy
MAJOR
Sep 256 min read
Michigan Sentiment at Near-Record Low as Rates Rise
Michigan's final September consumer sentiment index held at 47.8 Friday, the weakest since May's record trough, as a Federal Reserve rate hike and crude oil above $100 per barrel compound pressure…
Economy
MAJOR
Sep 245 min read
October Rate Hike Odds Hit 70% as Yields Top 5%
Hot PMI data and hawkish remarks from Federal Reserve Chair Warsh drove October rate hike odds to 70%, sending the 10-year Treasury yield to its highest level since July 2007.
Why do economic reports move stocks?
Stock prices rest on two things interest rates control: the value of future profits and the appetite for risk. That is why a hotter-than-expected CPI inflation print or a strong jobs report can move every stock at once - the numbers change where investors expect the Federal Reserve to set rates. The desk covers each major release with what was expected, what arrived, and how markets repriced.
The calendar repeats monthly: CPI and PCE for inflation, nonfarm payrolls for employment, GDP for growth, and the Fed's FOMC meetings where policy is actually set. Each report writes through to the wiki entry explaining the indicator, so coverage of a payrolls surprise links directly to what nonfarm payrolls measures and why markets care.
Frequently Asked
Which economic reports does Pomegra cover?
The desk covers major releases including CPI inflation, jobs reports, GDP, and central-bank rate decisions, with plain-English explanations of the market impact.
What is an economic indicator?
An economic indicator is a statistic - like unemployment or GDP growth - used to judge the health and direction of an economy. The Pomegra wiki and learn library explain the major ones.