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Expedia Stock Falls 9% After Weak Q4 Guidance

SEC / Expedia Group2 min read6 sources

Why is Expedia stock down today?

Expedia (EXPE) stock fell about 9% in after-hours trading on Wednesday after its fourth-quarter revenue forecast of $3.69–$3.75 billion came in slightly below analyst expectations, despite a raised full-year outlook.

Key numbers

Q3 revenue$4.94B+12% YoY
Q3 gross bookings$34.0B+11% YoY
2026 gross bookings forecast$131.4B–$131.9Braised from $129.5B–$130.8B
Q4 revenue forecast$3.69B–$3.75Bmidpoint below $3.74B estimate
Q4 gross bookings growth forecast3.3%–5.2%vs 11% in Q3
Q3 adjusted EPS$9.39+24% YoY

What happened

Expedia (EXPE) stock fell about 9% in after-hours trading on Wednesday after its fourth-quarter revenue forecast of $3.69–$3.75 billion came in slightly below analyst expectations, despite a raised full-year outlook. Expedia now expects customers to spend $131.4 billion to $131.9 billion on trips booked through its sites this year, up from $129.5 billion to $130.8 billion. For the last three months of the year, it expects that spending to grow only 3.3% to 5.2%, compared with 11% in the third quarter. Its finance chief blamed the US midterm elections and unrest in the Middle East and Europe.

Why it matters

Expedia, one of the world's largest online travel booking companies, is signalling that travel growth is slowing even though people are still taking trips. The stock had also gained about 10% earlier on Wednesday, so a small miss on the next-quarter forecast hit hard. Rival Booking Holdings has also guided to slower fourth-quarter bookings growth of 2% to 4%, which suggests the slowdown is not just Expedia's.

Who this affects

Marketmixed
Medium impact
Travel-stock investors get a cautious signal for late 2026.
Companybearish
Medium impact
Shareholders lose value as expectations for Q4 growth cool.
Competitorsmixed
Low impact
Booking also guides slower Q4; Airbnb reports next.
Industrybearish
Medium impact
Long-haul trips in Europe and Middle East are being hurt.

Expedia vs Booking Holdings, Airbnb

ExpediaEXPE+11%+3.3% to +5.2%13.2x
Booking HoldingsBKNG+10%+2% to +4%14.5x
AirbnbABNB——33.1x

As of 2026-11-05

How we got here

  1. Booking Holdings reports Q3 and guides Q4 gross bookings growth of 2% to 4%.

  2. Expedia reports Q3 revenue of $4.94B and raises its full-year gross bookings forecast.

  3. Shares fall in after-hours trading; reports put the drop between 7% and 9%.

  4. Quote data shows shares about 5% lower in early trading, per.

What to watch

  • Airbnb's third-quarter results and its own fourth-quarter outlook.2026-11-05
  • Whether Q4 gross bookings land inside Expedia's $27.9B–$28.4B forecast range.Q4 2026
  • Whether midterm-election and Middle East and Europe disruption to long-haul travel eases.Q4 2026

Educational content only. Not investment advice.

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