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FedEx Freight Stock Jumps 14% After Earnings Beat

Reuters via TradingView2 min read6 sources

Why is FedEx Freight stock up today?

FedEx Freight (FDXF) stock jumped about 14% to around $125 on Friday after beating profit estimates and forecasting fourth-quarter earnings above expectations, as analysts backed its 2027 growth targets.

Key numbers

Adjusted profit per share$1.49vs $1.38 expected
Q4 profit guidance per share$0.65–$0.75vs $0.53 expected
Quarterly revenue (sources differ)$2.44B–$2.46B+8% to +12% YoY
Q4 revenue guidance$2.30B–$2.37Bvs $2.2B expected
Seven-month operating income guidance$695M–$715Mraised from $605M–$645M
Share price move (prior close $109.69)+14%biggest one-day jump since listing

What happened

FedEx Freight (FDXF) stock jumped about 14% to around $125 on Friday after beating profit estimates and forecasting fourth-quarter earnings above expectations, as analysts backed its 2027 growth targets. The trucking company, which split off from FedEx on June 1, earned an adjusted $1.49 a share, versus about $1.38 expected. It expects 65 to 75 cents a share next quarter, well above the 53 cents analysts predicted. Its finance chief said 2027 sales growth should stay within a 4%–6% target, with profit margin moving toward 15%.

Why it matters

FedEx Freight's jump shows investors think the trucking business may be turning a corner after a rough start as a separate company. Its shares had fallen about 27% in the three months before the report. Management said it won its strongest price increases on customer contracts in recent years, which helps profits even if shipping demand stays weak. It is also the stock's first monthly gain since listing.

Who this affects

Marketbullish
Low impact
Freight-stock investors gain as pricing hopes improve.
Companybullish
High impact
Shareholders gain as guidance and 2027 targets look achievable.
Competitorsneutral
Low impact
Rivals Old Dominion, XPO and Saia see little immediate effect.
Industrymixed
Medium impact
Trucking pricing looks firmer, but demand visibility stays limited.

FedEx Freight vs Old Dominion, XPO, Saia

FedEx FreightFDXF+14%-26.8%16.2x
Old Dominion Freight LineODFL——20.7x
XPOXPO—-12.0%19.5x
SaiaSAIA—-20.9%14.3x

As of 2026-10-26

How we got here

  1. FedEx Freight begins trading as a standalone company after separating from FedEx.

  2. FedEx Freight reports results and guides fourth-quarter profit above estimates.

  3. Shares jump about 14% as analysts back 2027 targets.

What to watch

  • A 6.9% general rate increase on FedEx Freight prices takes effect2027-01-08
  • Holiday peak-season shipping demand, which management said it has limited visibility intoQ4 2026

Educational content only. Not investment advice.

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