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BHP Stock Falls 1.8% After Copper Output Miss

Mining.com.au2 min read5 sources

Why is BHP stock down today?

BHP (BHP:ASX) stock fell 1.8% on Tuesday to about A$59.19 after the miner's copper output missed estimates on Chile mine disruptions, dragging ASX materials stocks down 1.2%.

Key numbers

BHP copper output (Sep quarter)400,700 t-19% YoY
Escondida output252,600 t-23% YoY
Miss vs analyst forecasts5%–7% belowestimates differ by source
BHP share priceA$59.19-1.8% on the day
ASX materials sector-1.2%ASX 200 -0.33% to 8,816.9
FY2027 copper guidance1.65–1.80 Mtunchanged

What happened

BHP (BHP:ASX) stock fell 1.8% on Tuesday to about A$59.19 after the miner's copper output missed estimates on Chile mine disruptions, dragging ASX materials stocks down 1.2%. BHP produced 400,700 tonnes of copper in the three months to 30 September, down 19% from a year earlier and short of analyst forecasts. Output at Escondida, its giant Chilean mine, fell 23% to 252,600 tonnes because of bad weather, maintenance, lower-quality ore and a stoppage after a worker died. BHP kept its full-year copper target of 1.65 to 1.8 million tonnes.

Why it matters

BHP is one of the world's biggest copper producers, and copper is used in power grids, electric vehicles and data centers, so supply problems at large mines are closely watched. Because BHP is so large on the Australian market, its fall helped pull down the whole mining group and the main index. BHP kept its yearly target, which suggests it expects output to recover.

Who this affects

Marketbearish
Low impact
ASX investors saw miners drag the index down 0.33%.
Companybearish
Medium impact
BHP shareholders saw shares fall 1.8% on weak copper output.
Competitorsmixed
Low impact
Rio Tinto and South32 fell; Fortescue was flat.
Industrymixed
Medium impact
Chile mine disruptions highlight copper supply risks for buyers.

BHP vs Rio Tinto, Fortescue, South32

BHPBHP:ASXA$59.19-1.8%
Rio TintoRIO:ASX—-1.1%
FortescueFMG:ASX—+0.1%
South32S32:ASXA$4.40-2.4%

As of 2026-10-20

How we got here

  1. BHP's September quarter ends with copper output of 400,700 tonnes, down 19% on the year.

  2. BHP reports the quarterly update and keeps its full-year copper target unchanged.

  3. BHP shares close down 1.8%; ASX 200 ends 0.33% lower at 8,816.9.

What to watch

  • Whether Escondida output recovers toward BHP's unchanged full-year copper target of 1.65–1.8 million tonnesFY2027
  • Any further stoppages at Escondida after the fatal accident and weather disruptionsQ4 2026

Educational content only. Not investment advice.

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