Pomegra
Moomoo Financial launches event contracts through a Kalshi partnership, extending CFTC-regulated prediction market access to its 29 million global users as sector volume hits $24 billion monthly.
- Moomoo and Kalshi announced their partnership on June 4, 2026, embedding regulated event contracts directly into Moomoo's existing trading interface.
- Contracts are priced from $0.01 to $1.00 per contract, with each price reflecting the market's implied probability of a specific outcome.
- Combined monthly trading volume across Kalshi and Polymarket reached $24 billion in April 2026, up 13-fold from $1.8 billion in April 2025.
Lead
Moomoo Financial Inc., a subsidiary of Futu Holdings (NASDAQ: FUTU), announced a strategic partnership with Kalshi on June 4, 2026, integrating CFTC-regulated event contracts into its trading platform alongside stocks, options, ETFs, and cryptocurrency. The tie-up gives Moomoo's 29.18 million global users — managing $158.4 billion in client assets — direct access to the largest regulated prediction market exchange operating in the United States.What Happened
Under the arrangement, eligible U.S. users can trade Moomoo Kalshi event contracts without leaving the Moomoo platform or opening a separate brokerage account. Contracts are priced between $0.01 and $1.00, fully collateralized, with each price representing the market's consensus probability that a defined event occurs.
Available markets include Federal Reserve interest-rate decisions, U.S. and international election outcomes, inflation and payrolls data releases, the 2026 FIFA World Cup, and a range of geopolitical and cultural events. Moomoo said it will accompany the launch with educational resources to help users understand the structure and use cases of event-based derivatives.
Nate Palmer, President of Moomoo U.S., framed the expansion as a response to existing user behavior: "Our users are increasingly engaging with markets around major macroeconomic and news-driven events. Event contracts through Kalshi provide a more direct and transparent way for eligible users to express views on those developments within a regulated market structure."
Strategic Context
The partnership arrives as the prediction markets sector undergoes rapid institutional legitimization. Combined monthly trading volume on Kalshi and Polymarket reached approximately $24 billion in April 2026 — up from $1.8 billion in April 2025 and already exceeding the estimated $14 billion average monthly handle of U.S. legal sportsbooks for all of 2025.
Kalshi, founded in 2018 and approved by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission as a Designated Contract Market in November 2020, operates as a peer-to-peer exchange governed by federal derivatives rules. The platform's annualized trading activity more than tripled in the six months through May 2026 to $178 billion, while institutional volume surged 800% over the same period. In May 2026, Kalshi raised $1 billion in a Series F round led by Coatue Management — with participation from Sequoia Capital, Andreessen Horowitz, Paradigm, Morgan Stanley, and ARK Invest — lifting its valuation to $22 billion, double its December 2025 level of $11 billion.
Bernstein analysts project the prediction market sector to generate $240 billion in annual volume in 2026 and to reach $1 trillion by 2030, implying an approximately 80% compound annual growth rate over five years.
For Futu Holdings, the Kalshi integration is part of a broader product diversification strategy. The company has simultaneously expanded into cryptocurrency trading and 24/7 equity sessions, with prediction markets representing a category that amplifies engagement around the same macroeconomic catalysts — Fed meetings, jobs reports, elections — that already drive activity across its core brokerage products.
Regulatory Dimension
Event contracts in the United States are classified as commodity futures under federal CFTC jurisdiction, distinct from sports betting regulated at the state level. That boundary is actively contested: multiple state gaming authorities have moved to assert jurisdiction over prediction markets, and the CFTC has filed suit to block state-level restrictions. The agency published an Advance Notice of Proposed Rulemaking earlier this year seeking public comment on comprehensive event-contract regulation, with submissions due April 30, 2026.Additional scrutiny has emerged in Congress. Democratic lawmakers have urged the CFTC to tighten oversight over concerns about sports-betting adjacency and potential insider trading risks, while draft defense legislation includes restrictions on prediction market participation by U.S. military personnel.
Outlook
The Moomoo Kalshi integration positions Futu Holdings at the intersection of mainstream retail brokerage and a prediction market sector attracting institutional capital at scale. Competing platforms are under mounting pressure to offer comparable access, and Kalshi has signaled an active push toward Wall Street distribution alongside retail channels. Near-term growth for the sector will be shaped by regulatory resolution: a clear federal framework from the CFTC would remove state-level uncertainty and accelerate adoption across the brokerage industry, while an adverse ruling could compress available markets and dampen the trajectory analysts are projecting through 2030.
