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Image from Kitco's November 9 report on rising gold and silver prices
Photo: Kitco News

Gold Jumps to $4,140 Two-Week High on Softer Dollar

Kitco News2 min read6 sources

Why did gold jump 1.7% on Monday?

Gold (XAU) jumped 1.7% to a two-week high near $4,140 an ounce on Monday as a softer dollar and Washington politics outweighed a strong US jobs report.

Key numbers

Gold spot price$4,141/oz+1.7% (Kitco snapshot: +1.3%)
Fed December hike odds~80%from 72.8% before jobs data
October US jobs added165,000vs 65,000 expected
US Dollar Index101.56-0.61% on the day
Gold, past week+5%after Democratic midterm sweep
Central bank buying, Q3321 tonnes+42% vs a year earlier

What happened

Gold (XAU) jumped 1.7% to a two-week high near $4,140 an ounce on Monday as a softer dollar and Washington politics outweighed a strong US jobs report. On Friday, gold had slipped after the US added 165,000 jobs in October, well above the 65,000 expected, lifting bets on a December interest-rate hike to about 80%. Gold pays no interest, so higher rates usually hurt it. It rebounded as the dollar weakened and oil fell on hopes for US-Iran talks. Investors now await Tuesday's US inflation report.

Why it matters

Gold is a traditional safe haven, meaning people buy it when they worry about the economy, so its price shows how nervous investors are about inflation, interest rates and government spending. After Democrats swept the midterm elections, investors expect a divided Washington to limit spending, which eases debt worries and pulled the dollar and bond yields lower. Central banks also bought 321 tonnes in the third quarter, 42% more than a year earlier.

Who this affects

Marketbullish
Medium impact
Gold buyers gain, but rate-hike bets limit upside.
Companybullish
Medium impact
Gold holders gain; miners likely benefit from higher prices.
Competitorsbullish
Low impact
Silver and palladium also rose, helping their holders.
Industrybullish
Medium impact
Central banks keep buying despite high prices, supporting demand.

Gold vs Silver, Palladium

GoldXAU$4,128+1.4%
SilverXAG$52.60+1.4%
PalladiumXPD$1,024+0.7%

As of 2026-11-09

How we got here

  1. Gold falls to a low of $3,869.85 an ounce.

  2. Democratic midterm sweep drives gold's biggest one-day gain since August.

  3. Gold touches $4,146.63 as the dollar hits its lowest since September 30.

  4. US reports 165,000 October jobs; gold slips as December rate-hike odds rise.

  5. Gold jumps 1.7% to near $4,140 as the dollar softens.

What to watch

  • October CPI inflation report at 8:30 a.m. ET could shift Fed hike bets.2026-11-10
  • Gold's test of $4,200, the 100-day average analysts flag as resistance.2026-11-10
  • Fed's December meeting, where markets price about 80% odds of a quarter-point hike.Q4 2026

Educational content only. Not investment advice.

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