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Meta Stock Falls 1.6% Ahead of Q3 Earnings Report

Meta Investor Relations2 min read6 sources

Why is Meta stock down today?

Meta (META) stock fell 1.6% to $693.94 on Tuesday, its fifth straight drop, as investors waited for Wednesday's earnings with AI spending near $140B in focus.

Key numbers

Q3 revenue expected$63.3B+23.6% YoY expected
Q3 EPS expected (adjusted)$6.58per [1]; other estimates differ
2026 capex outlook$130B–$145BQ2 capex was $31.08B
Meta's Q3 revenue forecast$61B–$64BStreet sits near the top end
Legal settlement charge~$10Bpart of up-to-$18B state deal
Meta share price (Oct 20)$693.94-1.63%, fifth straight drop

What happened

Meta (META) stock fell 1.6% to $693.94 on Tuesday, its fifth straight drop, as investors waited for Wednesday's earnings with AI spending near $140B in focus. Analysts expect about $6.58 a share in adjusted profit (EPS) on $63.3B in sales, roughly 24% above a year ago, when results come out after the market closes. Some profit-per-share estimates are far lower, near $3.56, because Meta will record a roughly $10B charge for settling state youth social media claims. Meta's own sales forecast was $61B to $64B.

Why it matters

Meta's report will show whether its huge AI spending is paying off through better-performing ads. Meta has said it will spend $130B to $145B this year on equipment such as data centers, and in the second quarter that spending used up about 98% of the cash its business produced. Investors want proof that AI-driven ad growth is fast enough to justify that bill, and the answer can move other big tech stocks too.

Who this affects

Marketmixed
Medium impact
AI-linked tech stocks may swing on Meta's spending outlook.
Companymixed
High impact
Shareholders weigh strong ad growth against heavy spending, legal costs.
Competitorsneutral
Medium impact
Alphabet, Amazon and Microsoft face the same AI spending scrutiny.
Industrybullish
Medium impact
Data-center and chip suppliers gain if Meta spends more.

Meta vs Alphabet, Amazon, Snap

MetaMETA+7.5%
AlphabetGOOGL+8.8%
AmazonAMZN+8.3%
SnapSNAP-24%

As of 2026-10-19

How we got here

  1. Meta reports Q2 sales of $60.8B, up 28%, and sets 2026 capex outlook of $130B–$145B.

  2. Meta agrees to settle state youth social media claims for up to $18B.

  3. Meta shares close at $693.94, down 1.63% for a fifth straight session.

  4. Meta due to report Q3 results after the market closes.

What to watch

  • Whether Meta raises, narrows or holds its $130B–$145B 2026 capex outlook.2026-10-21
  • Ad growth and AI ad tools such as Advantage+, reported at a $75B yearly pace.2026-10-21
  • Fourth-quarter sales forecast versus Wall Street's roughly $73.6B estimate.2026-10-21

Educational content only. Not investment advice.

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