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Cracker Barrel Stock Jumps 9% on Q4 Earnings Beat

PR Newswire2 min read5 sources

Why is Cracker Barrel stock up today?

Cracker Barrel (CBRL) stock jumped 9% to about $49 in premarket trading on Wednesday after posting $0.99 in adjusted earnings per share against a $0.10 estimate, nearly ten times analysts' forecast.

Key numbers

Adj. EPS Q4 FY2026$0.99+890% vs $0.10 consensus
Revenue Q4 FY2026$849.3M-2.2% YoY; above $828.8M estimate
Adj. EBITDA Q4 FY2026$62.1M+11.4% YoY; incl. $9.1M tariff refund
Comp. Restaurant Sales-2.1%Traffic -6.1%, avg. check +4.2%
Total Debt$337.2MDown from $484.6M a year ago (-30%)
FY2027 Adj. EBITDA Guidance$180–$200MMidpoint $190M vs $177.7M consensus

What happened

Cracker Barrel (CBRL) stock jumped 9% to about $49 in premarket trading on Wednesday after posting $0.99 in adjusted earnings per share against a $0.10 estimate, nearly ten times analysts' forecast. Revenue for the quarter ended July 31 came in at $849.3 million — down 2.2% from a year earlier but still above Wall Street expectations. This marks three consecutive quarters of enormous earnings beats: Q2 FY2026 beat by 225%, Q3 by 169%, and Q4 by 890%. For fiscal 2027, the chain forecast adjusted operating earnings of $180–$200 million, above the $177.7 million analyst consensus.

Why it matters

Cracker Barrel's three-in-a-row streak of massive earnings beats has forced investors to reconsider whether its long-struggling casual-dining business can actually be turned around. Each quarter showed not just a fluke but a pattern: the company cut its debt by nearly a third in one year, improved profit margins, and grew its loyalty program to 12.5 million members. The stock still sits roughly 20% below its 52-week high of about $60, suggesting there may be more room to recover if the turnaround holds.

Who this affects

Marketbullish
Medium impact
Casual-dining sector peers and ETFs trade up slightly.
Companybullish
High impact
Shareholders benefit; turnaround thesis gains real credibility.
Competitorsneutral
Low impact
Rivals Darden and Texas Roadhouse face higher investor expectations.
Industrybullish
Medium impact
Casual dining shows margins can recover despite falling traffic.

Cracker Barrel vs Darden, Texas Roadhouse, Brinker

Cracker BarrelCBRL:NASDAQ$1.1B+9%+84%42x
Darden RestaurantsDRI:NYSE$24.3B+0.1%+19%19x
Texas RoadhouseTXRH:NASDAQ$10.8B-0.8%+0.6%21x
Brinker InternationalEAT:NYSE$8.8B+1.9%16x

As of 2026-09-23

How we got here

  1. Q2 FY2026: EPS $0.25 beats -$0.20 estimate by 225%; stock rallies.

  2. Q3 FY2026: EPS $0.29 beats -$0.42 forecast; stock surges ~22%.

  3. David Deno takes over as Cracker Barrel's new chief executive.

  4. Q4 FY2026: EPS $0.99 vs $0.10 estimate; stock jumps 9% premarket.

What to watch

  • Whether comp restaurant sales turn positive in Q1 FY2027.Q1 FY2027
  • FY2027 adj. EBITDA: $180–$200M target vs $147.7M last year.2027-07-31
  • New CEO Deno's first full-year strategic priorities or investor update.Q4 2026

Educational content only. Not investment advice.

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