Cracker Barrel Stock Jumps 9% on Q4 Earnings Beat
Why is Cracker Barrel stock up today?
Cracker Barrel (CBRL) stock jumped 9% to about $49 in premarket trading on Wednesday after posting $0.99 in adjusted earnings per share against a $0.10 estimate, nearly ten times analysts' forecast.
Key numbers
| Adj. EPS Q4 FY2026 | $0.99+890% vs $0.10 consensus |
|---|---|
| Revenue Q4 FY2026 | $849.3M-2.2% YoY; above $828.8M estimate |
| Adj. EBITDA Q4 FY2026 | $62.1M+11.4% YoY; incl. $9.1M tariff refund |
| Comp. Restaurant Sales | -2.1%Traffic -6.1%, avg. check +4.2% |
| Total Debt | $337.2MDown from $484.6M a year ago (-30%) |
| FY2027 Adj. EBITDA Guidance | $180–$200MMidpoint $190M vs $177.7M consensus |
What happened
Cracker Barrel (CBRL) stock jumped 9% to about $49 in premarket trading on Wednesday after posting $0.99 in adjusted earnings per share against a $0.10 estimate, nearly ten times analysts' forecast. Revenue for the quarter ended July 31 came in at $849.3 million — down 2.2% from a year earlier but still above Wall Street expectations. This marks three consecutive quarters of enormous earnings beats: Q2 FY2026 beat by 225%, Q3 by 169%, and Q4 by 890%. For fiscal 2027, the chain forecast adjusted operating earnings of $180–$200 million, above the $177.7 million analyst consensus.
Why it matters
Cracker Barrel's three-in-a-row streak of massive earnings beats has forced investors to reconsider whether its long-struggling casual-dining business can actually be turned around. Each quarter showed not just a fluke but a pattern: the company cut its debt by nearly a third in one year, improved profit margins, and grew its loyalty program to 12.5 million members. The stock still sits roughly 20% below its 52-week high of about $60, suggesting there may be more room to recover if the turnaround holds.
Who this affects
- MarketbullishMedium impact
- Casual-dining sector peers and ETFs trade up slightly.
- CompanybullishHigh impact
- Shareholders benefit; turnaround thesis gains real credibility.
- CompetitorsneutralLow impact
- Rivals Darden and Texas Roadhouse face higher investor expectations.
- IndustrybullishMedium impact
- Casual dining shows margins can recover despite falling traffic.
Cracker Barrel vs Darden, Texas Roadhouse, Brinker
| Cracker BarrelCBRL:NASDAQ | $1.1B | +9% | +84% | 42x |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darden RestaurantsDRI:NYSE | $24.3B | +0.1% | +19% | 19x |
| Texas RoadhouseTXRH:NASDAQ | $10.8B | -0.8% | +0.6% | 21x |
| Brinker InternationalEAT:NYSE | $8.8B | +1.9% | — | 16x |
As of 2026-09-23
How we got here
Q2 FY2026: EPS $0.25 beats -$0.20 estimate by 225%; stock rallies.
Q3 FY2026: EPS $0.29 beats -$0.42 forecast; stock surges ~22%.
David Deno takes over as Cracker Barrel's new chief executive.
Q4 FY2026: EPS $0.99 vs $0.10 estimate; stock jumps 9% premarket.
What to watch
- Whether comp restaurant sales turn positive in Q1 FY2027.Q1 FY2027
- FY2027 adj. EBITDA: $180–$200M target vs $147.7M last year.2027-07-31
- New CEO Deno's first full-year strategic priorities or investor update.Q4 2026
Educational content only. Not investment advice.
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