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Lead image from BioPharma Dive's report on Moderna's stock run
Photo: BioPharma Dive / Getty Images

Moderna Stock Rises 4.4% as ESMO Cancer Vaccine Data Nears

Moderna via BioSpace2 min read6 sources

Why is Moderna stock up today?

Moderna (MRNA) stock traded 4.4% higher at $227.61 on Monday as investors positioned for full Phase 3 cancer vaccine data at ESMO on Saturday, after a rally of more than 600% this year.

Key numbers

Gain this year600%+year to date
Share price (Oct 19)$227.61+4.4% on the day
52-week high$242.29price about 6% below
Friday drop (Oct 16)-10%profit-taking, intraday
BofA price target$220up from $200, Neutral

What happened

Moderna (MRNA) stock traded 4.4% higher at $227.61 on Monday as investors positioned for full Phase 3 cancer vaccine data at ESMO on Saturday, after a rally of more than 600% this year. Moderna and partner Merck said in August that their personalized skin-cancer vaccine worked in a large Phase 3 trial, but the full results have not yet been shown. Moderna also joined the Nasdaq-100, a list of big companies that many index funds copy, on October 9. Shares fell nearly 10% last Friday as investors took profits, then bounced back.

Why it matters

Moderna is best known for COVID vaccines, and the melanoma (skin cancer) result points to a possible second business in cancer treatment. The stock has risen more than 600% this year, so analysts say much of that success may already be in the price. If Saturday's full data looks weaker than hoped, a stock priced for success could fall sharply.

Who this affects

Marketmixed
High impact
Moderna investors face big price swings around Saturday's data.
Companymixed
High impact
Moderna shareholders gain on strong data, lose on weak data.
Competitorsneutral
Low impact
BioNTech and Pfizer have gained far less this year.
Industrybullish
Medium impact
Biotech investors are rewarding clear trial wins, analysts say.

Moderna vs Pfizer, BioNTech

ModernaMRNA$214.03-10%+545%
BioNTechBNTX$88.59-2%+1%
PfizerPFE$29.54+0.3%+16%

As of 2026-10-16

How we got here

  1. Moderna and Merck say Phase 3 melanoma vaccine trial succeeded; full data held back.

  2. Moderna joins the Nasdaq-100, replacing Warner Bros. Discovery.

  3. Shares fall nearly 10% in a day as investors take profits.

  4. BofA lifts price target to $220 from $200; shares trade 4.4% higher.

What to watch

  • Full Phase 3 melanoma data shown at ESMO Presidential Symposium, 10:30 a.m. ET.2026-10-24
  • Moderna investor webcast on the results, 1:00 p.m. ET.2026-10-24
  • Pancreatic cancer and lung cancer poster presentations at ESMO in Madrid.2026-10-25

Educational content only. Not investment advice.

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